Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004032 0.004237 0.004447 0.004678 0.004926 0.005185 0.005475
2025-01-19 0.003550 0.003843 0.004155 0.004515 0.004919 0.005360 0.005881
2025-01-26 0.003346 0.003696 0.004081 0.004537 0.005066 0.005664 0.006396
2025-02-02 0.003256 0.003658 0.004111 0.004661 0.005318 0.006083 0.007053
2025-02-09 0.003084 0.003510 0.003998 0.004604 0.005343 0.006226 0.007376
2025-02-16 0.002964 0.003413 0.003935 0.004596 0.005419 0.006425 0.007770
2025-02-23 0.002848 0.003313 0.003862 0.004568 0.005463 0.006580 0.008109
2025-03-02 0.002783 0.003270 0.003854 0.004616 0.005600 0.006855 0.008615
2025-03-09 0.002685 0.003181 0.003783 0.004578 0.005623 0.006979 0.008922
2025-03-16 0.002593 0.003096 0.003712 0.004537 0.005636 0.007086 0.009206
2025-03-23 0.002494 0.002997 0.003619 0.004461 0.005598 0.007120 0.009386
2025-03-30 0.002405 0.002908 0.003536 0.004394 0.005567 0.007159 0.009572
2025-04-06 0.002352 0.002864 0.003510 0.004405 0.005645 0.007358 0.010009
2025-04-13 0.002235 0.002734 0.003369 0.004254 0.005494 0.007225 0.009944
2025-04-20 0.002193 0.002702 0.003354 0.004274 0.005580 0.007436 0.010412
2025-04-27 0.002191 0.002720 0.003406 0.004388 0.005806 0.007859 0.011237
2025-05-04 0.002127 0.002653 0.003342 0.004336 0.005786 0.007915 0.011477
2025-05-11 0.002082 0.002612 0.003311 0.004329 0.005832 0.008071 0.011888
2025-05-18 0.002033 0.002564 0.003268 0.004303 0.005847 0.008179 0.012225
2025-05-25 0.002012 0.002551 0.003274 0.004347 0.005969 0.008458 0.012871
2025-06-01 0.001965 0.002503 0.003227 0.004313 0.005969 0.008544 0.013183
2025-06-08 0.001918 0.002454 0.003179 0.004274 0.005961 0.008614 0.013471
2025-06-15 0.001864 0.002392 0.003112 0.004204 0.005901 0.008596 0.013597